kate middleton duchess of cambridge Prince william pregnancy blue beulah Commonwealth service

Kate, Duchess of Cambridge attends the Commonwealth Day service at Westminster Abbey on March 12, 2018 in London, England. (Photo by Mark Cuthbert)

UPDATED APRIL 9: Seven years after Kate Middleton wed Prince William, she will give birth to their third child in the month of their marriage—April. And that’s about all we know, at least officially. Like with Kate’s previous pregnancies, the royal couple is revealing precious little information about the birth of Baby Cambridge, who will be fifth in line to the throne, behind Prince Charles, William, and older siblings George and Charlotte.

According to media reports, the due date is St. George’s Day, which is April 23, but no one is sure. Both George and Charlotte appeared later than originally scheduled, prompting the media to camp outside the Lindo Wing of St. Mary’s Hospital in London for weeks, stultifyingly boring sagas known as #GreatKateWait and #GreatKateWait2, complete with live feeds of its door, and even the Twitter account of a police orange cone (@LindoWingOCone). No one wants a third edition, yet such is the worldwide media interest in all things Cambridge, it’s more than likely.

THREE QUESTIONS ABOUT THE UPCOMING BIRTH

Prince William Kate Middleton duchess of cambridge blue beulah commonwealth service

Kate, Duchess of Cambridge and Prince William attend the Commonwealth Day service at Westminster Abbey on March 12, 2018 in London (Photo by Mark Cuthbert)

The first question is whether Kate will go to hospital at all. Her first two births were very easy, so much so that she went home a few hours after Charlotte was born. Now, the Express reports, she wants to have her third baby at Kensington Palace. “Catherine has said she would love to have her baby at home,” the paper was informed by a source, who says William is backing her. “They both agree that having a home birth would save a massive intrusion into the day to day running of any hospital where she gave birth.”

UPDATE: All those home birth theories were nixed on April 9 when parking restrictions were unveiled for the Lindo Wing of St. Mary’s Hospital in London. It’s so the media can set up their spots in front of its famous doors in advance of the royal birth. The parking restrictions are from April 9 to April 30. The long stretch of dates is because Kate’s first two babies appeared much later than expected. Oh, and no that doesn’t mean the media is camped out 24/7. They mark their spots behind the barriers and leave, aside from the odd report or two. They return permanently when royal communications staff tell them Kate is at the hospital, in labour.


The second question is when the baby will be born. The last work date in her schedule, as of now, is March 17, when she and William take part in the St. Patrick’s Day parade of the Irish Guards. With George, she stopped work around five weeks before his birth, which is about what she did before Charlotte appeared.

While April 23 appears to be the odds-on favourite, Kate’s belly is now so big and low that no one can discount the idea that the St. George’s Day due date may be a misdirection aimed at avoiding another #GreatKateWait.

UPDATE: On Tuesday March 21, Ringo Starr, who was knighted by Prince William, said that the expectant father told him that the baby was due “any minute now.”

As of April 9, William Hill is offering the following odds on a birth date (well, actually a range of dates):

April 9-15: 6/1

April 16-22: 3/1

April 23-29: 6/5

April 30-May 6: 2/1

The third question is the baby’s name. That’s where Britain’s betting industry is focusing its attention. While it’s taking bets as to the baby’s weight (8 lb. to 8 lb. 15 oz. is in the lead at 2/1 at William Hill) and even the day of birth (all are even at 11/1), it’s the name that has captured everyone’s imagination. In February, a flurry of bets on Mary prompted some betting shops to temporarily suspend taking more bets.

UPDATED ODDS: As of April 9 March 13, the top odds on William Hill’s “William & Kate’s Baby Specials” page are:

  1. Mary: 3/1 (better than 4/1 on March 13)
  2. Alice 6/1 (the odds for the rest of the names are unchanged)
  3. Victoria: 8/1
  4. Elizabeth: 12/1
  5. Albert: 14/1
  6. Arthur: 14/1
  7. Fred/Frederick: 14/1

UNOFFICIAL, YET EDUCATED GUESSES

If this unscientific poll of royal watchers is anything to go by, the top names are Alice and Victoria (girl) and Arthur and Philip (boy).

Prince William Kate Middleton baby girl name William Hill

Prince William Kate Middleton baby boy name William Hill

While all this will be moot in a month or so (or maybe earlier or later), one thing is guaranteed: Kate won’t vanish from public view for long. After all, on May 19, Prince Harry marries Meghan Markle. Fittingly, it’s the first big royal wedding since Kate Middleton married Prince William on April 29, 2011.